(Categories: Wzzup)

perception.jpgWhat would be a correct indicator that defines this day and age and what would be the indicator that defines tomorrow? We can point out different trends today that give some indication of how today could be defined. We can examine what things are at play, what their dynamics are, how they’ve come into existence and to some degree what they are extrapolated to. But with so many things moving and changing at once, the validity of the extrapolation becomes less and less. Pointing out tomorrow and beyond needs an increasing sense of movement, interconnectedness, change and birth. With birth I mean a new perspective of the things that are at play and their movement, creating a new perception and perspective.



The problem with birth, or the rise of a new perspective is that it happens tomorrow and it can be something so radically different that it disturbs the conceptions of today. When looking at the future one could try to plot so called wildcards (expecting unexpected events) or try to look closely at emergence and their weak signals. The problem with wildcards is you don’t know what you don’t know so they are hard to plot. A problem with weak signals is they are heavily influenced by the importance you assign to them today. Both can be heavily influenced by the birth of something new, not a uncommon thing: throughout history the perception of societies on reality and the world surrounding them has changed noumerous times. Some leading to small perception change, other to fundamental.

Several trends can be pointed out that are at play today. We can say something about what they are, how they’ve come into existence, what direction they’ve had, how they are interconnected and to some degree what they are heading to tomorrow. But this is all based on the persepctive we have on these things today. When the question arises: what happens tomorrow, it can be answered relatively easy. When the question is: what happens in 30 years time it becomes impossible to answer. The perspective on matters 30 years from now are probably so drastically different from those we have today.

I was once again struck by the thought of perception and reality; the difference between how I perceive the world and what this world I am perceiving really is. Time after time I realize that what is noticed by me, in the broughtest sense, changes with the insights I’ve gained. The insights are becoming part of the perspective on the world. I’ll never read the newspaper the same way as I used to…

Several times I’ve tried to come up with concepts of a distant future, but in the end I keep coming back to the somewhat philosophical question that all the assumptions I am making are based on the insights I have collected uptill today, and that my insights are changing over time by gaining more and more knowledge and insights. Each time insights change, a part of my perception of my environment changes with it. And once it has changed, it makes room for new theories and concepts. My guess is that the evolving perception of reality is really about proving theory by observation. Only once a theory or body of thought is proved by physical observation it becomes reality and part of the perspective. And only then it creates room for further conceptual refinements or adjustment.

Refinement of insights have happend throughout history numerous times. Each time they were born by new observations that were proving theory. The theory then was moved from ‘a theory’ to ‘reality’. Once moved to reality, new space was created for new theory, advancing what was
known. Each big advancement led to a change in perspective of reality. Changing the ancient thundergod into science, changing the earth as the center of the universe to the sun as a center in one of the galaxies, changing the balance between God and science. In the end theories are just the maps of reality.


1 Comment
Jörgen January 21, 2008

Maybe you should come to realize that ‘reality’ or ‘the real’ doesn’t exist. Theories are exactly that: theories, they don’t become real or reality. I believe they always stay just that: theories. What changes or differs is that more or less people accept a theory as something that seems to explain part of their world better, but it stays a theory.

Likewise with looking ahead. The only thing that you can do is have a perspective on things, or theory about the future. Yours is as good as mine. But whether or not people believe in your future, depends on the way you illustrate it or have arguments for it. In other words: you HAVE to make them believe and take them along a ride to such an extend that they start believing in your future. Why? Because only then can you have a conversation about it. And in the end it is about the multitude of perspectives that creates something of a possible future. A future, that is never real and will never become a reality…

 

Write Comment

Name (required)
E-mail (required - never shown publicly)
URI
Subscribe to comments via email
:) :( :imo: :danger: :cash: :brain: :doubt: :dont: :new: :quote: :todo: !!! :conflict: :good: :bad: :ok:
You may use <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong> in your comment.

Cupertino (beta)