Excerpt PFYT Sohail Inayatullah v2FreedomLab’s Penny-For-Your-Thoughts program is asking opinion leaders around the world to share some unfinished thoughts with us. In this first installment Pakistani-born political scientist and futurist Sohail Inayatullah shares some possible futures for a world that is being transformed by the global financial crisis: “As you engage in mapping the future, your own subjectivity, your own inner stories keep on changing the map. If you can understand what is the core inner story, then you can link that to an objective alternative future. That’s why I think this transformation is a sign of the end of the industrial era. And each of us needs to help in creating the transition.” Watch Sohail’s PFYT and share your thoughts on it…

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    Arjan:  384 million Chinese are online now, more than entire population of US. That’s an increase of 50%. Twothird accessed Net on handheld devices.
    March 11, 2010, 16:09 pm
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    Arjan:  Just received an Amber-alert by SMS (missing kid alarm); 1) Why not an mms with picture? 2) Why not use google-ads to push Amber-banner?
    March 11, 2010, 15:42 pm
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    Arjan:  Wealth gap urban & rural Chinese increased to ratio of 3:1, That's the widest gap since '78, a disturbing indicator for social stability.
    March 11, 2010, 8:10 am
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    Arjan:  Applied for the AR.Drone SDK. Mini-chopper with open-source software, remotely controlled via Iphone haptics & cam on board. Real .007 =)
    March 10, 2010, 18:51 pm
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    Arjan:  Great interactive horror promo. Not fairplay one man one vote, but one can change the fun for all. http://tinyurl.com/ybf5mg7 via @medialoco
    March 10, 2010, 18:49 pm
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    Jörgen:  Full circle: we're back at oral storytelling from pre-printed media times as we (should) adapt each story to the context of the audience...
    March 9, 2010, 10:14 am
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    Arjan:  Why a baby's laugh will make you buy stuff. Just try it ;-) Nice talk with Neuro-advertising guru Lindstrom: http://tinyurl.com/yftxlg3
    March 4, 2010, 22:00 pm
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    Arjan:  China is discouraging smoking, like in NL. Just a sign that we often talk about catching up but in many ways they are also at par or even..?
    February 28, 2010, 13:02 pm
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    Jörgen:  Bottom-up marketing of transmedia stories is the same as seeding a bittorrent network: how do you split up your story and attract leechers?
    February 26, 2010, 13:23 pm
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    Arjan:  Watching PBS documentary Frontline by Douglas Rushkoff. Like the (inter)active additions! http://tinyurl.com/yapdjhs
    February 21, 2010, 8:06 am
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    Arjan:  The world stands on its head: Public broadcaster asks Skate Federation to organize National Championship since it creates such good images??
    February 19, 2010, 19:40 pm
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    Arjan:  Dutch police just introduced new site with 10 most-wanted list. Do they expect me to go there? So 1.0. Why not google Adword these pictures?
    February 19, 2010, 19:35 pm
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    Arjan:  Our latest production to boost discussion on 21st century business: A lot needs to change for life to stay the same http://vimeo.com/9346507
    February 17, 2010, 15:48 pm
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    Arjan:  One of manyexamples of translating ink & paper magazine to online navigators. Experience the Wired as Ipad app: http://tinyurl.com/y93xpr4
    February 17, 2010, 14:48 pm
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    Jörgen:  What's the difference between story and narrative? 'Story' is the event or series of events, 'narrative' is the way you tell the story...?
    February 17, 2010, 10:36 am
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    Arjan:  Studying Commedia Dell'Arte where te same characters play different improv stories over & over, such a good examp for transmedia storyworlds
    February 10, 2010, 10:19 am
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    Jörgen:  Instead of more personalization in tech and gadgets, will the iPad become (the first) social/shared/family gadget?
    February 8, 2010, 10:50 am
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    Jörgen:  Slow day before my departure later on for a week to Kenya!
    February 8, 2010, 9:53 am
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    Arjan:  In Dutch the word Sustainable is translated with Durable?! Sounds like a small difference but in fact it has a huge impact on the meaning.
    February 5, 2010, 21:43 pm
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    Jörgen:  Bottom-up and crowdsourcing is not always better. Dutch study shows separating plastic from garbage has more effect with topdown approach...
    February 4, 2010, 10:02 am
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    Arjan:  We need to learn to seperate R&D: Research is transforming money into knowledge, Development is transforming knowledge into money!
    February 2, 2010, 21:58 pm
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    Jörgen:  Stories were a past and permanent version of a narrative. With new technologies how can u incorporate live or future events in a narrative?
    February 1, 2010, 16:18 pm
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    Jörgen:  If the turn of a century marks a change in life, could it be that the 21st century will start in 2011 and didn't started just yet in 2000?
    February 1, 2010, 9:34 am
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    Arjan:  Sao Paulo was 1st to ban all outdoor ads, it also hosted 3rd conference on most progressive Copyright-law @Lessig http://tinyurl.com/yj4lrnz
    January 30, 2010, 8:27 am
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    Arjan:  Recent study shows 70% managers don't move >30 min per week. How can they create sustainable business if not able to make sustainable selves
    January 30, 2010, 6:53 am
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    Arjan:  In lijn dat ANWB-poll bedreiging is voor democratie argumenteert @Hekkert dat co-creatie de dood is van Innovatie http://tinyurl.com/yfqhqrh
    January 29, 2010, 14:34 pm
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    Arjan:  Focus on R&D can be a dangerous strategic myth of growth - it might make us organize us around the technology and forget about the customer
    January 29, 2010, 13:03 pm
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    Arjan:  Reading Myopia '60 again: How we define our business wrong. Now thinking how term NGO defines what it's not (Government) not what it IS! ;-)
    January 29, 2010, 12:30 pm
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    Arjan:  I like Fernando Flores (Chile) view of a company: "A network alligned to make an offer" - a lot to work with in this definition!
    January 29, 2010, 11:53 am
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    Jörgen:  Why does everybody compare iPad to phone, laptop or netbook?What if it is new, like the first iPod was? This = just start of innovation...
    January 29, 2010, 9:46 am
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    Jörgen:  If someone is retweeting someone you know, who is RT someone you know, it must be a great observation? It is! http://tinyurl.com/ye8jvl3
    January 28, 2010, 20:12 pm
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    Arjan:  Gave workshop @Dance4Lifeint today on 'How to move a movement'. Mutually inspiring, great team & respect for being such an innovator as NGO!
    January 28, 2010, 19:26 pm
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    Arjan:  Ipad: great. Main disadvantage is the fact I'aint going to watch movies with the Pad in my hands for 90 minutes. The backstand is lame ;-(
    January 27, 2010, 20:03 pm
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    Arjan:  One of my favourite @Jenkins #quotes: "Games teach kids that failure isn't bad and that collaboration isn't cheating"
    January 27, 2010, 12:04 pm
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    Jörgen:  Am starting to watch 'Caprica' (prequel to Battlestar Galactica) as a transmedia experience experiment following this: http://bit.ly/914KRt
    January 27, 2010, 9:03 am
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    Jörgen:  @FreedomLab Great observation! Not shifting people then implies different kinds of fans for each part of story? Does it ever connect?
    January 27, 2010, 8:43 am
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    Arjan:  Did experiment; asked people to draw Smart Living. Try it! All drew house, cables & devices, no people at all? So all Smart but no Living!
    January 26, 2010, 21:53 pm
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    Arjan:  @medialoco A multi-platform story doesn't exist but you can tell a story over multiple platforms, get my drift? So never make people shift!
    January 26, 2010, 20:40 pm
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    Arjan:  Is there such a thing as a 'creative industry' to boost or does the whole of industry learn to be a bit more creative?
    January 26, 2010, 20:10 pm
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    Jörgen:  In telling multiplatform stories aren't we creating barriers 4 people 2 get into a natural story flow, by having them switch to other media?
    January 26, 2010, 9:29 am
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    Jörgen:  Is the difference between a spokesperson and a 'spindoctor' like the difference between reaction and proaction?
    January 25, 2010, 17:01 pm
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    Jörgen:  #dondersteendag My contribution to the journey: http://ow.ly/1npSrF Curious to other thoughts anybody has/had...
    January 22, 2010, 16:49 pm
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    Jörgen:  #dondersteendag 'Communitybuilding' is not about letting people in, but letting the right ones in. Saying no is more important than yes?
    January 22, 2010, 9:06 am
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    Jörgen:  How does a TV director move his community (crew) to creativity? He rides the train of emotion and tries to jump on board :-) @dondersteendag
    January 21, 2010, 17:22 pm
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    Arjan:  RT @alleyinsider Amazon Fires Missile At Book Industry, Launches 70% Kindle Royalty Option http://bit.ly/8gNMK9
    January 21, 2010, 8:43 am
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    Arjan:  Great video of Otto Scharmer on the 4th miracle: Fall Wall, End Apartheid, Rise of Obama and next ......? http://tinyurl.com/yapl95n
    January 20, 2010, 8:12 am
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    Arjan:  More than 330 marriages a day occur as a result of online dating. (source: onlinedatingmagazine.com) #funnyfacts
    January 19, 2010, 15:28 pm
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    Arjan:  Great Otto Scharmer chart how we transform to Capitalism 3.0 an Intentional ecosystem http://www.presencing.com/images/sub/tc/framework.gif
    January 19, 2010, 14:40 pm
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    Arjan:  The task isn't to see what no one has yet seen, but to think what nobody yet has thought about that which everybody sees #quote Schopenhauer
    January 18, 2010, 18:27 pm

The winner of the Android Developer Challenge was an application called Locale. With Locale I can manage the settings of my phone based on where I am, similar to your timezone settings on your computer. The difference with your computer is that the Android determines its location automatically AND I make my Android move around all the time. The creators of Locale combined these characteristics and created an app that lets me configure my phone based on where I am. With Locale my Android is Situation Aware, it transforms virtuality to reality. The obvious example is to turn off your sound when entering a movie theater. The neat thing is that I can graphically (Google Maps) group several of these locations one situation. This way I can also change my ring tone when in the office, another obvious example. Twittering where you are is standard, and with the Locale SMS plugin I can even send an SMS when I enter a situation. How would you use this? What is your application?

Last week I had the first ‘View FRWD’ event, with about 10 other young professionals working in different fields of interest (curator, design, social networks, artificial intelligence, radio, marketing, professional trainings). One of the main subjects during the night was communities. Recognizable as a sign of the time in which we are living everybody was somehow involved with a community related project. Maybe even a better indication of this time are the troubles that seem to occur with communities. Companies, institutions, the government, all are eager to implement a community, but almost everywhere projects are bound to fail. The two main problems were formulated tonight as aim and design.

Ofcourse we know commodity-cruves like oil and commodity prices have peaked nearly every 30 years, as in 1920, 1951, 1980 — and next likely around late 2009 to mid-2010? But are we also aware that we have seen long-term peaks in our stock market and economy very close to every 40 years due to generational spending trends: as in 1929, 1968, and next around 2009?  The three massive bubbles that have been booming for the last few decades — stocks, real estate, and commodities — have all reached their peak and are deflating simultaneously. Economic forecaster Harry S. Dent, Jr.: “The year 2009 will be the beginning of the next long-term winter season and the initial end of prosperity in almost every market, ushering in a downturn like most of us have not experienced before. Conventional investment wisdom will no longer apply, and investors on every level must drastically reevaluate their policies in order to survive. But despite the dire news and dark predictions, there are real opportunities to come from the greatest fire sale on financial assets since the early 1930s. With the right knowledge and preparation, you can take advantage of new wealth opportunities rather than get caught in a downward spiral. Our lives are about to change for reasons outside of our control, but you can’t change the direction of the winds, but you can reset your sails!”

The popularity of the iPhone is enormous. And most of the iPhone users become instantly addicted. When their iPhone is challenged they suddenly become passionate, sometimes even offended. And I have to admit that since Android I do understand why you would want an iPhone. One of the most heralded features is its openess to developers, YOU can upload any app you want. I don’t want to discuss this myth (well marketed message) but as it turns out the iPhone users don’t benefit (yet?) They do go to the store, download, and try the apps. Your app will fair better being on the top 100. But the top 100 apps are disregarded just as easily. You might expect a payed app would be more interesting, but not significantly. Perhaps not surprising but the survey shows only games do well. A couple of weeks ago Apple celebrated its 500 millionth dowloaded app. But what is it worth if they are all one-hit-wonders?

The coming five years will be the major switch from analog television to digital broadcasting. This will also be the end of the famous TV aerial. Last weekend around 400 local TV stations in Orlando had a première, they turned off their analog signal while most TV watchers were asleep.Will this be a historic moment in time? Are we now most definitely in the digital era or network age?

We often see robots in terms of animismWhen will we see real robots? 5 or 10 years from now? Even longer? Guess what, robots serve your food, ride you home, print your letters and open your doors everyday. For many the word robot is attached to the sci-fi metaphor. They need to see tin plate men walking the streets and talking in beeps and pings, before they recognize a robot, not noticing that they are in fact surrounded by robots in their daily lives. The same sort of metaphor is part of some peoples conception of artificial intelligence (AI). Their expectation is to see an autonomous machine, computer or robot, which blinds them for the AI that is actually already around them, within the robots the others could not see. Let us, then, sketch an alternative perspective that exposes a different conception of robots and AI.

TimeIn the days when we were still all on our dotcom cloud Amazon started a silent revolution. While we were building our walled gardens they radically changed direction, Amazon opened up. July 2002 Amazon Web Services was launched and from then on everyone could piggyback on Amazon’s accomplishments. With the inception of Amazon Mechanical Turk they showed they were serious. But lately this silent revolution op opening up is really starting to impress me. Late last year Amazon’s cloud computing platform (EC2, S3, etc.) was officially released, and we started paying for our servers per second. IBM is offering development version of their products for free. We only run a backup server for as long as it needs, it only ‘exists’ when it is necessary.

EmergencySome in our board of inspiration are talking about a new organization principle. Navi Radjou suggests mesh networking and Jeff Howe talks about crowdsourcing. Both are closely related to the upcoming intensive use of networks in the main economic sectors (production, transportation and communication). The rough idea is that whenever you have a problem you send it into the network, a swarm of people, then the message will spread like oil in the network and those able to solve the problem will pick it up and provide a sollution. No matter how simple the idea may sound, major companies still have problems implementing it, but in the US local governments are now using the principles of the network to support emergency services. I think this could make the crowd partly accountable for safety matters and I see this accountability as one of the features of the network.

Malcolm GladwellIn a lecture about his recent book Outliers Malcolm Gladwell held a rather political position, in terms of the consequential actions to be taken in reaction to his writing. One of the main themes is the capitalization of talent, or more precisely the lacking of it in our society. In his view there are three constraints on capitalizing talent that all have the strong contextual character of culture or sociology. These constraints are poverty, the organization of social institutions and attitude. I think his arguments are quite strong and he is very much in line with others who plea for a radical change in society, paraphrased by Alan Moore as the no straight line philosophy, but I wonder if his constraints are subjects for the political agenda, especially the constraint of attitude.

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